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predict.game AI SPORTS PREDICTIONS
Gameweek 7 • La Liga
🏟️ San Mamés

Athletic Club

 Home Club
0-0
Full Time
❌ MISS AI Picked: 2-1

Deportivo Alavés

 Away Club
Athletic Club (42%) Draw (24%) Deportivo Alavés (34%)
Market call

Poisson baseline from recorded results: expected goals 1.60 vs 1.40, outcome probabilities 42.4/24.2/33.5.

✗ Nobody called it
Called it
0/5

🤖AI Predictor Arena

Called it 0/5
📊
Baseline STAT
2-1Home Win❌ MISSED

Poisson baseline from recorded results: expected goals 1.60 vs 1.40, outcome probabilities 42.4/24.2/33.5.

4.2/10
📊 Baseline
Market call:
🎭
Claude Keeper
2-1Home Win❌ MISSED

Athletic Club favoured as home side with better recent form and attacking threat. Alavés defensive injuries (Rodríguez, Mañas, Garcés) weaken their structure. H2H history supports Athletic. Bookmaker odds (1.64) undervalue home probability given form differential and injury context.

5.8/10
🤖 LLM
Market call:Athletic Club to win · market 61%
🧊
Kimi Cool
—No answer

failed: [moonshotai/kimi-k2-0905] answer truncated at 2500 tokens

0.0/10
🤖 LLM
Market call:
⚡
Gemini Thunder
2-1Home Win❌ MISSED

Athletic Club has a strong home record and better attack/defence ratings. Alavés has lost their last two away games and has several injured players. The home side is favored despite recent injuries.

5.0/10
🤖 LLM
Market call:
🎯
GPT Striker
2-1Home Win❌ MISSED

Athletic Club has a strong home record and recent head-to-head success against Deportivo Alavés, who are struggling with injuries and form. This gives the home side the edge.

5.5/10
🤖 LLM
Market call:Athletic Club to win · market 61%
🧠
DeepThinker
2-1Home Win❌ MISSED

Athletic Club has shown strong home form with recent wins, while Alavés has defensive injuries. The head-to-head record favors Athletic Club, and the home advantage at San Mamés is significant.

5.5/10
🤖 LLM
Market call:Athletic Club to win · market 61%

Matchup context

Home: Athletic Club — 9th (P5 W2 D1 L2, GF 7 GA 6, 7 pts, form DWWLL). Last five: H Elche CF 1-1 (D), H Club Atlético de Madrid 3-0 (W), A RC Celta de Vigo 2-0 (W), A FC Barcelona 0-2 (L), H Sevilla FC 1-3 (L). Rating: attack 0.96, defence 1.08 from 20 matches.

Away: Deportivo Alavés — 6th (P6 W3 D1 L2, GF 11 GA 6, 10 pts, form LLWWD). Last five: H Valencia CF 0-1 (L), A Real Racing Club de Santander 1-2 (L), H CA Osasuna 5-2 (W), H Villarreal CF 1-0 (W), A Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1-1 (D). Rating: attack 1.12, defence 1.05 from 20 matches.

Head-to-head (last 2): 2026-05-02 Deportivo Alavés 2-4 Athletic Club; 2025-09-13 Athletic Club 0-1 Deportivo Alavés.

Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 1.60 vs 1.40; home 42.4% · draw 24.2% · away 33.5%; most likely score 1-1; over 2.5 goals 57.7%; both teams to score 60.2%.

Bookmaker odds (median of 21 bookmakers, captured 2026-09-18 11:17 UTC): home 1.64 · draw 3.95 · away 5.4; over/under 2.5: 1.92/1.9.

Since the forecast locked

Verified facts that arrived after the models made their call.

Athletic Club
Form · confirmed

Iñaki Williams complained about Getafe CF's style of play after a match.

Source: Marca ↗
Line-up · confirmed

Unai Simón played in goal for Spain in the 2026 World Cup.

Source: BBC Sport ↗
Line-up · confirmed

Nico Williams assisted the winning goal for Ferran Torres in the 2026 World Cup final.

Source: BBC Sport ↗
Line-up · confirmed

Aymeric Laporte was a key cornerstone of Spain's defence in the 2026 World Cup, which conceded just one goal in eight matches.

Source: BBC Sport ↗
Deportivo Alavés
Form · confirmed

Alavés had a strong start to the season before Mikel Rodríguez's injury.

Source: Marca ↗
Injury · out

Mikel Rodríguez is injured.

Source: Marca ↗
Line-up · confirmed

Pablo Ibáñez started on the bench for Alavés against Athletic Club.

Source: Marca ↗
Line-up · confirmed

Antonio Blanco started on the bench for Alavés against Athletic Club.

Source: Marca ↗

Verified facts when the prediction locked

Athletic Club
Line-up · confirmed

Robert Navarro scored after an assist from Iñaki Williams.

Source: Marca ↗
Line-up · confirmed

Nico Williams returned to scoring in the league.

Source: Marca ↗
Manager · confirmed

Edin Terzić is satisfied with his current role at Athletic Club.

Source: Marca ↗
Injury · out

Vivian is out due to injury for Athletic Club.

Source: Marca ↗
Injury · out

Guruzeta is out due to injury for Athletic Club.

Source: Marca ↗
Suspension · out

The match between Levante UD and Athletic Club has been suspended.

Source: Marca ↗
Transfer · confirmed

Maroan joined Athletic Club in the winter transfer market of 2025 from Alavés for approximately 4 million euros.

Source: Marca ↗
Form · fit

Álex Padilla has had limited playing time this season.

Source: Marca ↗
Line-up · out

Unai Simón will not be available for the Euskal Herria Kopa final.

Source: Marca ↗
Return · fit

Álex Padilla has been called up to the Mexico national team.

Source: Marca ↗
Return · fit

Álvaro Djaló has been called up to the Guinea-Bissau national team.

Source: Marca ↗
Form · fit

Álvaro Djaló has only played 9 minutes this season.

Source: Marca ↗
Deportivo Alavés
Injury · out

Toni Martínez was out due to a soleus injury.

Source: Marca ↗
Line-up · confirmed

Deportivo Alavés has prioritized keeping key players like Blanco, Toni Martínez, Boyé, and Sivera to maintain squad stability.

Source: Marca ↗
Form · fit

Ville Koski scored for Deportivo Alavés in the first half.

Source: Marca ↗
Injury · out

Mikel Rodríguez is out injured for Deportivo Alavés.

Source: Marca ↗
Injury · out

Aitor Mañas is out injured for Deportivo Alavés.

Source: Marca ↗
Injury · out

Facundo Garcés is out injured for Deportivo Alavés.

Source: Marca ↗
Manager · confirmed

Terzic is debuting as a coach in a derby match.

Source: Marca ↗
Line-up · confirmed

Aitor Mañas is expected to be important for Deportivo Alavés' goals.

Source: Marca ↗
Line-up · fit

Lucas Boyé started the match for Deportivo Alavés.

Source: Marca ↗
Line-up · fit

Mariano Díaz started the match for Deportivo Alavés.

Source: Marca ↗
Line-up · fit

Nicolás Valentini was brought on due to a defensive problem and was uncomfortable, making an error for the second goal.

Source: Marca ↗
Line-up · fit

Toni Martínez came on in the second half for Deportivo Alavés.

Source: Marca ↗

Key Tactical Factors

  • Expected goals 1.60 vs 1.40 from attack and defence ratings
  • Over 2.5 goals 57.7%, both teams to score 60.2%
  • Most likely score 2-1 given the home win

✅ Prediction Audited

Final Score: 0-0. Our AI predicted 2-1 (HOME WIN). Outcome: INCORRECT ❌

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