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Matchday Intelligence Ferrari · Monday, 26 October 2026 at 07:06 UTC

Ferrari's Austin Podium Shows Race Pace Outrunning Qualifying Form

Leclerc took second and Hamilton fourth at the US Grand Prix despite a qualifying deficit. What it means for Ferrari's title standing before Mexico City.

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Video from Ferrari's official channel

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In short

  • Leclerc went from fourth on the grid to second with late passes on Lando Norris and Max Verstappen.
  • Hamilton was fastest in final practice but finished fourth after Ferrari committed to a two-stop strategy.
  • Straightline speed and power unit deficits cost Ferrari in qualifying, according to Motorsport.com.

Austin result: Leclerc second, Hamilton fourth

Ferrari left the United States Grand Prix with a podium and a strong second driver result, even though neither car started at the front. Charles Leclerc qualified fourth and finished second after [1], a recovery that turned an average grid position into the team’s best result of the weekend. Kimi Antonelli won the race from pole position.

Lewis Hamilton finished fourth. According to [1], Ferrari committed to a two-stop strategy for him, and he had been fastest in final practice and only narrowly behind Leclerc in qualifying. Further down the order, the same report rates George Russell eighth after a five-second penalty and Liam Lawson ninth.

The bigger picture belongs to Antonelli. He can clinch the championship at the Mexico City Grand Prix by finishing ninth or higher, and he would become the youngest Formula 1 world champion. That puts Ferrari in the position of chasing a title leader rather than contesting the lead themselves.

Qualifying: pace in practice, a deficit in Q3

Saturday was the weaker part of Ferrari’s weekend. [2] reported that the team failed to convert strong practice pace into a front-row start, with Leclerc fourth and Hamilton fifth. The two drivers gave different explanations for the drop-off in the final session: Leclerc pointed to tyre temperature issues, while Hamilton pointed to power unit deficits.

The same report flagged Ferrari’s straightline speed as a concern, with rivals showing a significant advantage. At a circuit with long straights and a heavy emphasis on slipstreaming and top-end performance, that gap is hard to hide over a single lap. The explanation matters because it separates two types of problem. A tyre temperature issue can be managed with preparation and the timing of a run, while a power or straightline deficit is a more structural limit that shows up on every lap.

That difference helps explain why Ferrari looked stronger on Sunday than on Saturday. Race running rewards tyre management and strategy, and the team used both. Qualifying exposes outright speed, and that was where the car was least comfortable.

Practice, track limits and the overtaking question

Ferrari’s speed earlier in the weekend was real. [3] reported that Hamilton set the fastest lap in final practice, ahead of Verstappen and Leclerc. Leclerc had a lap deleted for track limits in that session, as did Norris, so several of the leading drivers could not post fully representative times. The session suggested close competition among the top teams, and the final order of the weekend bore that out.

Before the race, both drivers spoke about how it might go. Hamilton [4] at the Circuit of the Americas, a realistic assessment for a driver starting fifth. Leclerc said he believed he could battle for the win if he made a good start. He did not win, but his move from fourth to second showed that overtaking was possible with the right timing and tyre state.

The contrast between the two results is useful. Leclerc made his gains late, on his own pace. Hamilton’s two-stop plan did not deliver a podium, and the team will want to understand whether the strategy or the car’s track position limited him.

What it means

Ferrari are second in the championship with 474 points from 18 rounds played. The standing reflects consistent scoring, and the Austin podium adds to it. It also leaves a clear gap to the leader: Antonelli sits 123 points clear, according to [5], and a ninth place or better in Mexico could settle the drivers’ title.

The form says Ferrari can recover on Sunday, but the qualifying evidence shows where they lose ground. Starting fourth and fifth with a straightline disadvantage is a risk on any track where overtaking is difficult. The Mexico City Grand Prix, round 19, asks whether the team can improve its single-lap performance, or whether it must rely again on strategy and late passes. The input contains no injury, penalty, upgrade or driver-change news for Ferrari ahead of that race, and it holds no site forecast for it, so the next fixture comes down to what the team does with the car it already has.

Sources

  1. BBC Sport: Antonelli superb and Leclerc close to perfect - driver ratings bbc.co.uk ↩
  2. Autosport: Leclerc and Hamilton's differing theories behind Ferrari's Austin qualifying disappointment motorsport.com ↩
  3. Autosport: F1 United States GP: Ferrari completes perfect practice record as Hamilton tops FP3 autosport.com ↩
  4. BBC Sport: Antonelli stands on brink of history in Austin bbc.co.uk ↩
  5. BBC Sport: How to follow Mexico City Grand Prix on the BBC bbc.co.uk ↩

Written by predict.game's models from the sources listed. How our content is made →

  1. Ferrari's Mexico pole: Hamilton ends the wait as Leclerc lines up thirdMatchday Intelligence, 2 Nov
  2. Mexico City Grand Prix: Verstappen wins, Hamilton second, and no model called itTransfers & Contracts, 2 Nov
  3. Ferrari Lead Mexico City Practice, but Hamilton's Breakdown Raises QuestionsMatchday Intelligence, 1 Nov
  4. Mexico City GP preview: Hamilton on pole, but Leclerc and Antonelli have the paceTransfers & Contracts, 31 Oct